崩盘起因!利物浦上赛季英超场均丢1.1球,本赛季场均丢1.6球(崩盘之因?利物浦英超场均失球由上季1.1增至本季1.6)

2026-01-01

Analyzing goals conceded

I'm considering the factors impacting Liverpool's goals conceded in 2023-24. There seems to be a change in pressing structure and player profiles, such as the replacements in midfield. Also, injuries to key players like Alisson and Van Dijk might play a role.

It's essential to suggest adjustments, like dropping the defensive line deeper or altering the midfield setup. I'll keep my analysis structured, focusing on causes, evidence for changes, and potential tactical adjustments to improve their defensive performance.Considering request execution

The instruction emphasizes executing simple requests, which doesn't quite fit this context. I need to present my final answer as a clear, concise bullet list that includes potential metrics for verification, while avoiding heavy formatting.

It could be helpful to ask clarifying questions to better understand the user's needs. I'll offer likely reasons for the situation and provide immediate suggestions while inviting them to share more details, like specific matches or timeframes, for deeper analysis if they're interested.Identifying common patterns

I want to outline some common patterns that could be affecting performance:

  • A drop in pressing intensity leads to a higher PPDA, allowing opponents to complete passes and increase shots from central areas.
  • There are fewer players behind the ball during attacks, causing disruptions during transitions and exposing fullbacks who push high.
  • It’s important to consider the positioning and duel success of the defensive midfielder and differences in tackling pressures.
  • Defensive line spacing and the success rate of offside traps need attention as well.
  • Set-pieces, particularly corners and aerial duels, should be analyzed.
  • Lastly, I should compare goalkeeping performance, such as Alisson vs. Kelleher, and review errors leading to shots.

看点清楚了:丢球率从1.1升到1.6,多半不是「单点问题」,而是多因素叠加。常见成因与核查思路如下,便于你对症下药看比赛或数据:

  • 压迫质量下滑:PPDA升高、反抢成功率下降,意味着对手更容易越过第一道压迫,带来更高质量的射门(中路、禁区内)。核查:PPDA、抢回球时间、丢失后5秒内抢回率。
  • 过渡防守(rest defense)不稳:边后卫内收或同时前压时,身后保护人数不足,被对手反击打身后。核查:转换进攻丢球的xGA占比、对手反击射门次数。
  • 后腰屏障不足:6号位的对抗与位置感若不够(拦截、延阻、犯规战术时机),会让中后卫直接承压。核查:中路三分之一区域被推进次数、被直塞穿透次数。
  • 防线高度与协同:高位线+回追速度/协防距离不匹配,越位陷阱成功率下降,一步慢全盘慢。核查:防线平均站位、越位陷阱成功率、被身后传球次数。
  • 定位球隐患:角球/任意球二点球保护不到位,丢失二点或后点盯人。核查:定位球xGA、二点争抢成功率、后点失位次数。
  • 门将波动:阿利森/替补的PSxG-GA若由正转负,丢球会放大。核查:PSxG-GA、扑救率、扑救后的二次反应丢球。
  • 人员伤停与轮换:中卫、边后卫频繁更迭影响默契;体能下降导致末段失球。核查:丢球时间分布(75分钟后)、首发后防组合稳定度。
  • 比赛态势与取舍:领先后仍高位加速、空间拉大;或中前场为进攻牺牲了保护。核查:在不同比分状态下的xGA/90。

可尝试的调整(不一定都要做,按对手与人脚选配):

的rest

  • 6号位优先稳态:让最稳的后腰首发,前提是保护中路与反击第一拍;十字路口犯规更果断。
  • 非对称边后卫:一侧前插,另一侧收缩,确保丢球瞬间至少“3+2”的rest defense。
  • 防线微降+纵深压缩:在领先或被打身后频繁的对手面前,线位后撤2-3米,缩短中后场间距。
  • 反抢触发更清晰:丢球点附近的5秒反抢,要么多人就地围剿,要么快速回撤,不要半压半退。
  • 定位球细节:后点专人、区域+人盯混合、盯防互换呼叫更明确;加强二点保护站位。
  • 轮换与体能:末段上新鲜腿压迫;必要时用更稳的边后卫/中卫关门。

如果你有具体赛季区间或想对比比赛,我可以按数据项帮你拉一份“本季 vs 上季”的对照清单:PPDA、xGA/90、反击xGA占比、定位球xGA、PSxG-GA、被直塞与身后球次数、丢球时间分布。想看哪几项?

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